Poisson Distribution

Poisson distribution is a statistical technique used to model the probability of a given number of events occurring within a given time interval. A popular use of Poisson is in calculating goal probabilities and betting odds in football matches.

Poisson Distribution Calculator

This simple Poisson calculator tool takes the goal expectancy for the home and away teams in a particular match then using a Poisson function calculates the percentage chance and likely number of goals each team will score. From this the tool will estimate the odds for a number of match outcomes including the home,away and draw result, total goals over/under odds and both team to score odds.

For example given a home team goal expectancy of 1.655 and away team goal expectancy of 2.123 - Click the Calculate button to see the estimated match odds.

Fields with * are required.

Football Results files provided by Football-Data.co.uk